Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 10.268585 11.860543 13.565101 15.520034 17.693978 20.031115 22.727397
2025-06-01 8.143731 10.198377 12.536607 15.374291 18.703684 22.464577 27.011482
2025-06-08 6.576101 8.839773 11.554913 15.010240 19.246196 24.224266 30.467533
2025-06-15 5.629099 8.051932 11.093162 15.122026 20.243859 26.459591 34.486752
2025-06-22 4.810960 7.296960 10.552400 15.025942 20.901253 28.236243 37.953019
2025-06-29 4.251975 6.802665 10.272500 15.197518 21.851427 30.362594 41.883064
2025-07-06 3.794078 6.384463 10.036139 15.375967 22.777848 32.453891 45.803618
2025-07-13 3.489729 6.147500 10.015934 15.823669 24.056476 35.022612 50.401313
2025-07-20 3.186042 5.871955 9.905428 16.116536 25.110885 37.305190 54.669267
2025-07-27 2.846388 5.497728 9.609102 16.104962 25.714585 38.973531 58.139147
2025-08-03 2.412003 4.914724 8.938745 15.480883 25.388529 39.321812 59.790848
2025-08-10 2.118834 4.534720 8.548929 15.244067 25.595634 40.398071 62.451607
2025-08-17 1.837548 4.143324 8.109130 14.900875 25.626740 41.225941 64.797349
2025-08-24 1.619874 3.840621 7.787724 14.717336 25.878194 42.364265 67.599178
2025-08-31 1.399791 3.502872 7.373547 14.347958 25.811997 43.018216 69.703996
2025-09-07 1.274786 3.338646 7.249278 14.448083 26.478819 44.769827 73.439054
2025-09-14 1.136943 3.128364 7.021392 14.352152 26.818523 46.028087 76.468054
2025-09-21 1.046121 3.007426 6.948133 14.516132 27.579991 47.942348 80.510010
2025-09-28 0.964787 2.896521 6.883436 14.687545 28.354079 49.890256 84.640483
2025-10-05 0.918484 2.861133 6.962343 15.118923 29.573847 52.558681 89.915655
2025-10-12 0.860363 2.789290 6.961625 15.401215 30.546932 54.859294 94.673960
2025-10-19 0.779612 2.649210 6.809318 15.390003 31.012197 56.361112 98.230704
2025-10-26 0.657044 2.379817 6.361320 14.788240 30.422421 56.148728 99.115439